Online Course Revenue Calculator
Annual course revenue forecast.
Calculate online course annual revenue from email list size, launch conversion rate, price, payment fees, and launches per year.
What this tool does
This calculator models annual revenue from online course sales by estimating how many students enrol across multiple launches, then accounting for platform and payment processing costs. The result shows net annual revenue after fees are deducted from gross sales. Email list size and launch conversion rate are the primary drivers—a larger audience or higher conversion percentage directly increases student numbers per launch. The calculator is useful for creators forecasting revenue from repeated course launches throughout a year, or comparing scenarios with different price points and fee structures. The output assumes each launch reaches your full email list at the same conversion rate, and does not account for refunds, cart abandonment recovery, affiliate costs, or marketing spend. Results are estimates for planning purposes only.
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Formula Used
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Disclaimer
Results are estimates for educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.
Online course revenue depends on email list size, launch conversion rate, course price, platform fees, and launch frequency. Most solo creators generate 60-80% of annual revenue from 2-3 big launches rather than steady drip sales. Conversion rates on launches range 1-5% of the whole list, higher for warmed-up sub-segments.
10,000-person email list, 2% launch conversion = 200 students per launch. At 297 course price: 59,400 gross per launch. After 5% platform fee (Teachable, Kajabi) and 3% payment processing: 4,752 in fees, 54,648 net. Two launches per year: 109,296 annual net revenue. Solid solopreneur income.
Launch conversion is everything. Doubling list size to 20,000 at same 2% = double revenue. But doubling conversion to 4% (via better positioning, bigger promise, better sequence) at same list size also doubles revenue. Improving the 2% rate via iteration usually beats growing the list faster, because list growth costs marketing spend while conversion improvement is pure skill investment.
Quick example
With email list size of 10,000 and launch conversion of 2% (plus course price of 297 and platform fee of 5%), the result is 109,296.00. Change any figure and watch the output shift — it's often more useful to see the pattern than to memorise the formula.
Which inputs matter most
You enter Email List Size, Launch Conversion %, Course Price, Platform Fee %, and Payment Fee %. Not every input has equal weight. Adjusting one input at a time toward extreme values shows which ones move the result most.
What's happening under the hood
Students per launch = list × conversion %. Gross per launch = students × price. Net per launch = gross × (1 - platform % - payment %). Annual = net × launches. The formula is listed in full below. If the number looks off, you can retrace the calculation by hand — that's the point of showing the working.
Using this as a check-in
Re-run this every three months. A single reading tells you where you stand; four readings tell you whether things are improving. The trend matters more than any individual snapshot.
What this doesn't capture
The score is a composite of the inputs you provide. Life context — job security, family obligations, health, housing — doesn't appear in the math but shapes the real picture. Use the number as a prompt, not a verdict.
10,000 × 2% × ££297 × 2 launches - fees = 109,296.00.
Inputs
This example uses typical values for illustration. Adjust the inputs above to match a specific situation and see how the result changes.
Sources & Methodology
Methodology
The calculator computes annual course revenue by modelling a series of identical launches throughout the year. For each launch, it multiplies the email list size by the launch conversion rate to estimate student enrollments. Gross revenue per launch is then calculated by multiplying enrollments by the course price. Net revenue per launch deducts both platform and payment fees as a combined percentage of gross revenue. Finally, annual revenue is derived by multiplying the net revenue per launch by the number of launches per year. The model assumes a constant conversion rate and price across all launches, treats fees as proportional to revenue, and does not account for list growth, declining conversion on repeat launches, refunds, chargebacks, payment processing variations, or changes in pricing strategy.
References
Frequently Asked Questions
Why 2 launches per year instead of constant sales?
How do I increase conversion?
Is high-ticket better?
What about affiliate partnerships?
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