FinToolSuite

Pension Income Projection Calculator

Updated April 17, 2026 · Savings · Educational use only ·

Monthly and annual income from a pension pot at a chosen drawdown rate.

Project monthly and annual income from a pension pot at a chosen drawdown rate. Shows implied longevity of the pot. Free and runs in your browser.

What this tool does

At retirement, the pension pot has to convert into income. Enter the pot size and a drawdown rate (4% is the commonly-cited 'safe' figure; 3-5% is the typical range). The tool returns the annual and monthly income at that rate, and an approximate pot longevity assuming constant real withdrawals.


Enter Values

Formula Used
Pension pot value
Drawdown rate

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Disclaimer

Results are estimates for educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.

A 500,000 pot drawn at 4% a year pays 20,000 a year — roughly 1,667 a month. At 5% the monthly rises to 2,083, but the pot depletes faster. The classic '4% rule' comes from research (the Bengen study) and assumes a diversified portfolio with some equity exposure.

How to use it

Enter the pot value at retirement and the drawdown rate you plan to use. Drawdown rates above 5% significantly increase the risk of outliving the pot; rates below 3% leave income on the table that you're unlikely to need given typical longevity.

What the result means

Primary is annual income from the pot. Secondary shows monthly, the implied years the pot lasts at constant real withdrawals (1 divided by the rate, roughly), and the pot size. Note: sequence of returns risk — bad markets early in retirement — can significantly reduce pot longevity even when the rate 'should' be safe.

What this doesn't model

Sequence risk, inflation above the rate, state pension, investment fees, tax treatment in drawdown. Real retirement income planning needs all of these; the tool gives the first-order estimate before more detailed analysis.

Quick example

With pension pot value of 500,000 and drawdown rate of 4%, the result is 20,000.00. Change any figure and watch the output shift — it's often more useful to see the pattern than to memorise the formula.

Which inputs matter most

You enter Pension Pot Value and Drawdown Rate. Not every input has equal weight. Flip one at a time toward extreme values to feel which ones move the needle most for your situation.

What's happening under the hood

Annual income equals pot value times drawdown rate. Pot longevity shown as the simple inverse of the rate (e.g., 4% implies roughly 25 years of constant real withdrawals in a steady market) — a rule of thumb, not a guarantee. Does not model investment growth or sequence risk. The formula is listed in full below. If the number looks off, you can retrace the calculation by hand — that's the point of showing the working.

Turning the result into a plan

A projection is just a starting point. The real work is setting the monthly amount aside automatically so the saving happens before you can spend it. Most people who hit savings goals set up a standing order on payday; most who miss them rely on willpower at month-end.

What this doesn't capture

The calculation assumes a steady savings rate and a stable interest rate. Real saving journeys include emergencies, windfalls, and rate changes — especially in easy-access products. The figure is a direction of travel, not a guarantee.

Example Scenario

Annual and monthly income from the pension pot at the chosen drawdown rate is shown.

Inputs

Pension Pot Value:500,000 £
Drawdown Rate:4
Expected Result£20,000.00

This example uses typical values for illustration. Adjust the inputs above to match a specific situation and see how the result changes.

Sources & Methodology

Methodology

Annual income equals pot value times drawdown rate. Pot longevity shown as the simple inverse of the rate (e.g., 4% implies roughly 25 years of constant real withdrawals in a steady market) — a rule of thumb, not a guarantee. Does not model investment growth or sequence risk.

Frequently Asked Questions

Is 4% really safe?
The Bengen study found 4% survived every historical 30-year period. It's not a guarantee — particularly bad sequences early in retirement can break it. Some research suggests 3.3-3.5% is safer for today's lower expected returns.
Does this include state pension?
No. State or employer pensions on top add income and can allow a lower private drawdown rate, reducing sequence risk.
Should I drawdown evenly or flex with markets?
Flexible strategies (Guyton-Klinger, variable percentage) can support higher rates but require discipline. Constant-real drawdown is simpler and what the 4% rule assumes.
What about tax?
Varies by jurisdiction and wrapper. 25% tax-free lump sum, remainder taxed as income.: taxed as ordinary income for traditional pensions. Adjust gross income downward by your expected effective rate.

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