409A Valuation Impact Calculator
409A and option exits.
Calculate 409A valuation impact on stock option exercise and exit profits, given strike price and current 409A fair market value.
What this tool does
When a private company sets a 409A valuation, the intrinsic value of stock options at exit depends on three factors: the strike price you paid, the current fair market value, and the eventual exit price per share. This calculator models the gain you would realise from your options if the company exits at a price you specify. It takes your strike price, current 409A valuation, number of options held, and projected exit price, then estimates the total profit by calculating how much each option would be worth above your strike at that exit price. The result shows your potential gain in local terms under that exit scenario. Note that this is a simplified illustration and does not account for tax, vesting schedules, acceleration, secondary sales, or other post-exit considerations.
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Disclaimer
Results are estimates for educational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice. Consult a qualified professional before making financial decisions.
409A valuations set strike price for employee stock options at private companies. Required by the tax authority - sets fair market value (FMV) for tax purposes. Higher 409A = higher strike for new options (less attractive to employees) but lower spread (less AMT tax on exercise). Lower 409A = better employee deal but higher tax bill at exercise.
Example: employee has 10,000 options at 2 strike. Current 409A FMV: 8/share. Intrinsic value = 6 × 10,000 = 60k (taxable as AMT income on exercise). Exit at 25/share: total gain 230k (250k value - 20k exercise cost). Significant wealth - but tax timing tricky depending on AMT vs ordinary income.
409A practical implications: (1) Strike price for new option grants = current 409A FMV. (2) AMT trigger on early exercise (long-term capital gains preferred). (3) Tender offer pricing vs 409A FMV. (4) the tax authority audit risk if granting options below 409A FMV (significant penalties). 409A valuations updated 12 months or after material event (funding round, exit announcement). Most employees focus on stock options without understanding 409A mechanics - critical for tax planning.
A worked example
Try the defaults: strike price of 2, current 409a fmv of 8, options held of 10,000, exit price per share of 25. The tool returns 230,000.00. You can adjust any input and the result updates as you type — no submit button, no reload. That's the real power here: seeing how sensitive the output is to one or two assumptions.
What moves the number most
The result responds to Strike Price, Current 409A FMV, Options Held, and Exit Price per Share. Not every input has equal weight. Adjusting one input at a time toward extreme values shows which ones move the result most.
The formula behind this
Intrinsic value = max(0, 409A - strike). Exit profit = (exit - strike) × options. Everything the calculator does is shown in the formula box below, so you can check the math against your own spreadsheet if you want.
Where this fits in planning
This is a "what-if" tool, not a forecast. Use it to test ideas before committing: what happens if the rate is 2% lower than hoped, what happens if you add five more years. The value is in the scenarios you run, not the single answer you get from the defaults.
What this doesn't capture
Steady-rate math ignores real-world volatility. Actual returns are lumpy; sequence-of-returns risk matters most in drawdown; fees and taxes drag on compound growth; and behaviour changes in drawdowns can reduce outcomes below the projection. The number represents one scenario rather than a forecast.
10,000 options ££2 strike, ££8 409A, ££25 exit = 230,000.00.
Inputs
This example uses typical values for illustration. Adjust the inputs above to match a specific situation and see how the result changes.
Sources & Methodology
Methodology
The calculator computes exit profit by multiplying the per-share gain by the number of options held. Per-share gain is calculated as the difference between the exit price and the strike price. If this difference is negative or zero, the options have no intrinsic value and contribute zero profit. The model assumes a single exit event at a specified price and treats all options as exercisable at the stated strike price. It does not account for vesting schedules, exercise fees, tax consequences, dilution from future financing rounds, or the probability that an exit may not occur. The 409A valuation is used as a reference point but does not directly affect the profit calculation; profit depends solely on the relationship between strike price and exit price.
References
Frequently Asked Questions
What is 409A valuation?
Why does 409A matter to employees?
When are 409A valuations done?
Early exercise vs wait?
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